Monday 11 March 2013

LIBOR Manipulation - Why Does It Matter?

To date, some $2.5billion has been levied in fines on just 3 banks and it’s likely that more will follow.  Why does it actually matter if banks have manipulated LIBOR, especially if it results in lower interest rates? 

Firstly, what is LIBOR?  LIBOR stands for the London Interbank Offered Rate and is set every working day to indicate rates of interest payable over various periods of time in various currencies.  It is used as a “benchmark” for setting borrowing rates to borrowers (individuals, companies, governments, other banks). 

LIBOR is calculated by the British Bankers Association through Thomson Reuters as their agent.   A number of “contributor banks” are used (16 are used for Pound Sterling LIBOR).  Every contributor is asked to base their submission on the following question: “At what rate could you borrow funds, were you to do so by asking for and then accepting inter-bank offers in a reasonable market size just prior to 11 am?” 

So, submissions are based upon the lowest rate at which a bank thinks that it could go into the London interbank money market and obtain funding for a period of time in a given currency. 

Once every bank has submitted its estimate, all estimates are ranked from highest to lowest, and the top and bottom 25% are eliminated.  The remaining estimates are then averaged to produce an indication rate. 

If all contributors “lowball” their estimates, then the average rate must necessarily be lower than it otherwise would be. 

Why should a contributor “lowball” their estimate?  The two main reasons that I can see are: 

·         They don’t want to people to think that they are in difficulty by submitting higher (honest) rates, which then means they would pay more to borrow;
·         Various financial products are based on LIBOR and contributors can make artificial profits by “forcing” LIBOR down. 

One particular product is the “Interest Rate Swap” or “IRS”.  This is used by borrowers to protect themselves against adverse movements in exchange rates.  For example, if rates are low, you want to protect yourself from a rise.  If they are high, you want to take advantage of any fall.  To do this, you would take out an IRS with your bank.  

Suppose Company A wants to protect itself against a rise in interest rates.  The company go to their bank and make a deal whereby, if LIBOR rates rose above a certain level, the bank would pay them the difference between the new rate and the level agreed.  If rates stayed below a certain level, Company A would pay the difference to the bank.  In this case, they’re swapping “floating for fixed”.   

If Company A is borrowing at high rates but thinks that rates will fall, they would want to take advantage of any fall and so would arrange with the bank that if rates fell below a certain level, the bank would pay them the difference between the lower rate and the actual rate they’re paying.  In this case, they’re swapping “fixed for floating”. 

So, it’s in the banks’ interests to pay out as little as possible (or receive as much as possible).  Where LIBOR rates are artificially low and banks have customers who have swapped “floating for fixed”, they want to make sure that they don’t have to pay them.  At the moment, I suspect that most customers will swap “floating for fixed” as interest rates are at an all-time low and the only way that they can really go is up.  Banks want to avoid this. 

Some banks have been accused of selling IRSs as part of a deal to customers and/or to customers who lack the sophistication to understand the risks of them, hence the mis-selling accusations that are now flying around. 

The point is, manipulating rates for personal financial gain is unethical and results in potential losses for customers.  Imposing a product that takes advantage of manipulated rates on customers is unethical.  A bank has a duty to look out for the best interests of its customers, and this may not be happening.
 

I have spent more than half my life delivering change in different world markets from the most developed to “emerging” economies. With more than 20 years in the world financial services industry running different service, operations and lending businesses, I started my own Performance Management Consultancy and work with individuals, small businesses, charities, quoted companies and academic institutions across the world. An international speaker, trainer, author and fund-raiser, I can be contacted by email . My website provides a full picture of my portfolio of services.  For strategic questions that you should be asking yourself, follow me at @wkm610.

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